terça-feira, 31 de março de 2009

Perspectivas e cenários

Notícia do Financial Times:

Barclays in talks on £3bn iShares deal
By Martin Arnold, Peter Thal Larsen and Jane Croft in London
Published: March 31 2009 11:52 Last updated: March 31 2009 14:17

Barclays has entered exclusive negotiations with CVC Capital Partners, the private equity group, to sell the exchange traded funds business of its iShares subsidiary in a deal worth about £3bn.
The move came a day after Barclays shunned a UK government insurance scheme designed to ring-fence toxic assets on banks’ balance sheets.
(...)
The detailed stress tests carried out by the Financial Services Authority examined how Barclays would perform in a UK recession lasting at least two years and tested a number of different scenarios including a 50 per cent fall in house prices as well as declines in gross domestic product and in commercial property.
(...)


Claro que não percebo nada dos problemas e dos planos do Barclays, mas o que me chamou a atenção foram os estudos feitos sobre cenários não-optimistas.
Faz-me lembrar, por oposição, o último Orçamento de Estado deste desgoverno, e se calhar os Orçamentos anteriores, que já em plena crise se baseava em cenários de crescimento económico.
Não era optimismo: era burrice ou maldade. E continua a ser.

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